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Over 113,000 tech jobs cut in 2026: companies cite AI as main driver - but economists are skeptical

What it really says

Since the start of 2026, US technology companies have eliminated more than 113,000 positions - an average of 825 per day across 179 distinct layoff events. In Q1 alone, approximately 80,000 jobs were cut, a 33 percent increase over the same period in 2025. In May, the trend accelerated further: Cloudflare cut over 1,100 positions (20 percent of its workforce), with CEO Matthew Prince citing the 'agentic AI era' and noting that internal AI usage had grown 600 percent in three months. Payments platform BILL announced cuts of up to 30 percent of its workforce. Upwork CEO Hayden Brown informed employees of a roughly 25 percent reduction. Coinbase separated from about 700 employees (14 percent), with CEO Brian Armstrong citing a 'structural shift toward smaller, AI-augmented teams.' Notably, there is no US federal law requiring companies to disclose AI as a reason for layoffs. Meanwhile, an estimated $725 billion is flowing into AI infrastructure in 2026 - concentrated in just four major corporations.

Our assessment

The fear of AI-driven job loss is understandable, but reality is more nuanced than headlines suggest. Yes, the layoff numbers are real and substantial. But whether AI is truly the main driver is questioned by economists: Oxford Economics concludes that companies 'don't appear to be replacing workers with AI on a significant scale.' A Wharton professor puts it more bluntly: companies say 'We expect that AI will cover this work' - but 'they're just hoping.' Many companies use the AI narrative to justify already-planned restructurings. This doesn't make the situation harmless: the lack of disclosure requirements in the US means nobody knows exactly how many jobs are actually replaced by AI - and how many are eliminated due to other factors like economic slowdown or strategic realignment. The concentration of $725 billion in AI investment among a few corporations also intensifies power concentration in the industry.

Relevance for Germany

This development is relevant for Germany for several reasons. First, according to an ifo business survey, 27 percent of German companies expect AI to lead to job cuts within the next five years - in the industrial sector, this figure rises to 37 percent. Second, Germany faces a unique situation: in 2026, for the first time, more people are leaving the labor market than entering it, and the skills shortage remains the dominant issue despite economic weakness. AI could paradoxically provide relief rather than threat by offsetting the demographic bottleneck. Third, unlike the US, the EU's AI Act will require transparency obligations for high-risk AI systems starting December 2027 - including in the workplace. Companies will then need to document how AI influences personnel decisions, giving European workers significantly more protection than their American counterparts.

Fact check

The total of over 113,000 cut tech positions in 2026 is confirmed by independent tracking data and consistently reported by TechTimes, Yahoo Finance, and Tom's Hardware. Individual company figures - Cloudflare 1,100 jobs (20%), BILL 30%, Upwork 25%, Coinbase 14% - are documented through SEC filings and official company announcements. Cloudflare's restructuring charges of $140-150 million come from the SEC 8-K filing dated May 7, 2026. The Oxford Economics finding that firms 'don't appear to be replacing workers with AI on a significant scale' was cited across multiple research results. The ifo data on German companies comes from a representative business survey. The $725 billion AI investment figure is reported by Yahoo Finance and 24/7 Wall Street; the exact breakdown to four corporations could not be independently verified.

Source

  • TechTimes 18.05.2026: Tech Layoffs Surpass 113,000 in 2026 With No Federal Law Requiring AI Disclosure (techtimes.com/articles/316802/20260518/tech-layoffs-surpass-113000-2026-no-federal-law-requiring-ai-disclosure.htm)
  • Fast Company 05.2026: Tech layoffs this week: Cloudflare, Coinbase, Upwork, and others point to AI (fastcompany.com/91538995/tech-layoffs-due-to-ai-this-week-cloudflare-paypal-coinbase-upwork)
  • Tom's Hardware 2026: Tech industry lays off nearly 80,000 employees in Q1 2026 (tomshardware.com/tech-industry/tech-industry-lays-off-nearly-80-000-employees-in-the-first-quarter-of-2026-almost-50-percent-of-affected-positions-cut-due-to-ai)
  • Yahoo Finance 05.2026: $725 billion floods into AI, more than 113,000 workers lose jobs (finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/articles/725-billion-floods-ai-more-192000103.html)
  • Cloudflare SEC 8-K 07.05.2026: Restructuring announcement (sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/0001477333/000147733326000033/cloud-20260507.htm)
  • ifo Business Survey / Statista 2026: 27% of German companies expect AI-driven job cuts (de.statista.com/infografik/34806/unternehmen-umfrage-zum-effekt-von-ki-auf-anzahl-der-beschaeftigten-in-deutschland/)
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